Effective collaboration between planning controller, tactical controller and pilots in handling various uncertainties and hazards is the result of decades of evolutionary development. The forthcoming paradigm shift to Trajectory Based Operations (TBO) requires a similarly effective collaboration between the TBO layer and a tactical layer. Through agent-based modelling and simulation the authors have recently shown that in a pure airborne self-separation environment these two layers together can yield remarkably positive emergent behaviour in managing uncertainties and hazards, as a result of which very high en-route traffic demands can safely be accommodated. The current paper addresses the question if similarly good emergent behaviour is feasible with a ground based TBO design. The key findings are twofold. A negative finding is that ground-based TBO is not providing the remarkably positive emergent behaviours of pure airborne TBO. Though a positive finding is that ground-based TBO has the potential to safely accommodate high en route traffic demands.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication12th Seminar Papers
Subtitle of host publication12th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar
Number of pages10
Publication statusPublished - 2017
Event12th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar - Seattle, United States
Duration: 26 Jun 201730 Jun 2017
Conference number: 12


Conference12th USA/Europe Air Traffic Management Research and Development Seminar
Abbreviated titleATM 2017
CountryUnited States
Internet address

    Research areas

  • Agent-based Modelling, Air Traffic Management, Monte Carlo, Hazards, Rare event simulation, safety risk assessment, Trajectory Based Operations, Uncertainty, 4D trajectories

ID: 31445260