Resilient by design: a modelling approach to support scenario and policy analysis in the Olifants River Basin, South Africa

Jai Clifford Holmes, S Pollard, H Biggs, Kundai Chihambakwe, Willem Jonker, Theo York, Fabio Andres Diaz, Jill Slinger

Research output: Chapter in Book/Conference proceedings/Edited volumeConference contributionScientificpeer-review

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Abstract

In this paper, we report on a concerted modelling effort in the South African water resources sector in which system dynamics provides the paradigmatic framing for both a stakeholder engagement process and for developing an underpinning, integrative simulation model. We describe the design of the parallel modelling approach and examine the progress to date. We highlight the crafting of the engagement sessions to fit the different characteristics and needs of the participating stakeholders and reflect upon outcomes so as to set the project path into the future. In this, we choose to build resilience by a progression from collecting and exploring individual experiences of stakeholders’ problems; to connecting individuals’ experiences to their broader sectors’ problems; and finally to cross-connecting the sectors’ impacts and requirements to one another under different scenarios of change.
Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 34th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society
PublisherSystem Dynamics Society
Number of pages9
Publication statusPublished - 2016
Event34th international conference of the system dynamics society - Delft, Netherlands
Duration: 17 Jul 201621 Jul 2016
Conference number: 34

Conference

Conference34th international conference of the system dynamics society
Country/TerritoryNetherlands
CityDelft
Period17/07/1621/07/16

Keywords

  • climate change
  • water management
  • public policy
  • stakeholder engagement
  • resilence
  • simulation modelling

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