TY - JOUR
T1 - Which Fire to Extinguish First? A Risk‐Informed Approach to Emergency Response in Oil Terminals
AU - Khakzad, N.
PY - 2018
Y1 - 2018
N2 - The performance of fire protection measures plays a key role in the prevention and mitigation of fire escalation (fire domino effect) in process plants. In addition to passive and active safety measures, the intervention of firefighting teams can have a great impact on fire propagation. In the present study, we have demonstrated an application of dynamic Bayesian network to modeling and safety assessment of fire domino effect in oil terminals while considering the effect of safety measures in place. The results of the developed dynamic Bayesian network—prior and posterior probabilities—have been combined with information theory, in the form of mutual information, to identify optimal firefighting strategies, especially when the number of fire trucks is not sufficient to handle all the vessels in danger.
AB - The performance of fire protection measures plays a key role in the prevention and mitigation of fire escalation (fire domino effect) in process plants. In addition to passive and active safety measures, the intervention of firefighting teams can have a great impact on fire propagation. In the present study, we have demonstrated an application of dynamic Bayesian network to modeling and safety assessment of fire domino effect in oil terminals while considering the effect of safety measures in place. The results of the developed dynamic Bayesian network—prior and posterior probabilities—have been combined with information theory, in the form of mutual information, to identify optimal firefighting strategies, especially when the number of fire trucks is not sufficient to handle all the vessels in danger.
UR - https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/risa.12946
U2 - 10.1111/risa.12946
DO - 10.1111/risa.12946
M3 - Article
SN - 0272-4332
VL - 38
SP - 1444
EP - 1454
JO - Risk Analysis: an international journal
JF - Risk Analysis: an international journal
IS - 7
ER -